Henry Searle vs Alexis Galarneau — Dublin Quarter-final
Searle H.
Henry Searle faces Alexis Galarneau in the Dublin quarter-final on grass. Alexis Galarneau holds the paper edge — ranked #188, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Galarneau A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Henry Searle 93 games in 14 days, Alexis Galarneau 121.
- Last match: Alexis Galarneau dropped the opening set before beating Oliver Crawford 2–6 6–2 6–4.
- Last match: Henry Searle edged Yu Hsiou Hsu in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSearle H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.