Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry SearleDublin Semi-final

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#145ATP
1647ELO
1546Grass ELO
$264kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWWLL
Sets
Friday, 19 June 2026 ·
grass
#354ATP
1357ELO
1355Grass ELO
20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWWL
Jacquet K.
vs
Searle H.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Jacquet K.78%
Searle H.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jacquet K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+191 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Grass Elo 1355
8.6Overall Elo 1647
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.14 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

16 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jacquet K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Searle H.

Searle H.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Jacquet K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
70

Jacquet K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Searle H.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.