Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor FritzHalle Round of 16

Halle · ATP · Round of 16
#61ATP
1767ELO
1584Grass ELO
$684kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 18 June 2026 ·
grass
HERISTO-ARENA · 1st on
#9ATP
1849ELO
1799Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLLWW
Marozsan F.
vs
Fritz T.

Fabian Marozsan faces Taylor Fritz in the Halle round of 16 on grass. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 210-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Marozsan F.23%
Fritz T.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Grass Elo 1584
Surface ELO
7.7+214 Grass Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1766
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1849
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.24 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fritz T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
15.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Marozsan F.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
86
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Clear edge
36
60
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Marozsan F.Fritz T.
Serve
100
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
57

Marozsan F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on HERISTO-ARENA · not before Starts At 11:30 · up next on court

  1. 1Marozsan F. v Fritz T.This match
  2. 2Shelton B. v Quinn E.
  3. 3Zverev A. v Hanfmann Y.
  4. 4Collignon R. v Bellucci M.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz2-6 7-6(4) 7-6(1)
2024-01-15Australian OpenR32hardTaylor Fritz3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2