Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet — Dublin Quarter-final
Dimitrov G.
Grigor Dimitrov faces Kyrian Jacquet in the Dublin quarter-final on grass. Grigor Dimitrov holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Dimitrov G. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Grigor Dimitrov 19 games in 14 days, Kyrian Jacquet 56.
- Under pressure: Grigor Dimitrov has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 88 vs Kyrian Jacquet's 48).
- Last match: Grigor Dimitrov dropped just 5 games past Conor Gannon.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDimitrov G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R128 | hard | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |