Sebastian Ofner vs Enrico Dalla Valle — Parma Round of 16
Ofner S.
Sebastian Ofner faces Enrico Dalla Valle in the Parma round of 16 on clay. Sebastian Ofner is the paper favourite — ranked #124, a roughly 250-point clay Elo advantage — but Enrico Dalla Valle arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Sebastian Ofner's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ofner S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Sebastian Ofner comes in with 1 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Enrico Dalla Valle's 1 and 150.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Sebastian Ofner has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 69 vs 30).
- Last match: Enrico Dalla Valle dropped just 5 games past Alexander Weis.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadOfner S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Carballes Baena R. v Travaglia S.
- 2Cecchinato M. v Bondioli F.
- 3Ofner S. v Dalla Valle E.This match
- 4Galan D. v Van Assche L.
- 5Rincon D. v Napolitano S.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.