Yi Zhou vs Nicolas Mejia — Dublin Round of 16
Zhou Y.
Yi Zhou faces Nicolas Mejia in the Dublin round of 16 on grass. Nicolas Mejia is the paper favourite — ranked #167, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage — but Yi Zhou rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Mejia N. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Win streak: Yi Zhou arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.