Martin Krumich vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Poznan Round of 16
Krumich M.
Martin Krumich faces Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Poznan round of 16 on clay. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva is the paper favourite — ranked #205, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Martin Krumich arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Martin Krumich comes in with 7 days of rest and 101 games in 14d, vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's 5 and 89.
- Last match: Martin Krumich dropped the opening set before beating Alan Wazny 3–6 7–5 7–6.
- Surface form: Martin Krumich 6 of 10, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 4 of 10 on clay recently — Martin Krumich the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKrumich M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Reis Da Silva J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on COURT 2 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 2Olivieri G. v Ribecai M.
- 3Krumich M. v Reis Da Silva J.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.