Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Henry SearleDublin Round of 16

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#206ATP
1515ELO
1359Grass ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
grass
#346ATP
1357ELO
1355Grass ELO
20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWW
Hsu Y.
vs
Searle H.

Yu Hsiou Hsu faces Henry Searle in the Dublin round of 16 on grass. Yu Hsiou Hsu holds the paper edge — ranked #206.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC
Hsu Y.74%
Searle H.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hsu Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+4 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Grass Elo 1355
7.0Overall Elo 1515
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.82 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Hsu Y.Stable
Searle H.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hsu Y.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Searle H.

Searle H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Hsu Y.

Serve advantage — Searle H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
92

Hsu Y.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Searle H.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.