Otto Virtanen vs Felix Gill — Nottingham
Virtanen O.
Otto Virtanen faces Felix Gill in the Nottingham match on grass. Otto Virtanen holds the paper edge — ranked #158, a roughly 330-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Virtanen O. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Otto Virtanen 145 games in 14 days, Felix Gill 84.
- Surface form: Otto Virtanen 4 of 6, Felix Gill 3 of 6 on grass recently — Otto Virtanen the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadVirtanen O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Gill F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.