Billy Harris vs Otto Virtanen — Nottingham Quarter-final
GBR
Harris B.
Billy Harris faces Otto Virtanen in the Nottingham quarter-final on grass. Billy Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #142, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Virtanen O. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Billy Harris comes in with 2 days of rest and 105 games in 14d, vs Otto Virtanen's 1 and 165.
- Last match: Otto Virtanen dropped just 5 games past Felix Gill.
- Last match: Billy Harris edged Arthur Gea in three tight sets (7–6 6–7 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHarris B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Davis Cup Finals RR: FIN vs GBR | RR | hard | Billy Harris | 6-4 7-6(4) |