Jacopo Vasami vs Buvaysar GadamauriParma Round of 16

Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#340ATP
1533ELO
1510Clay ELO
18 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
clay
#261ATP
1556ELO
1527Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLW
Vasami J.
vs
Gadamauri B.

Jacopo Vasami faces Buvaysar Gadamauri in the Parma round of 16 on clay. Buvaysar Gadamauri holds the paper edge — ranked #261, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Vasami J.50%
Gadamauri B.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Jacopo Vasami 45 games in 14 days, Buvaysar Gadamauri 99.
  • Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1510
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1556
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vasami J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gadamauri B.

Gadamauri B.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Vasami J.

Serve advantage — Gadamauri B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
71

Vasami J.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Gadamauri B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.