Oliver Crawford vs Alexis Galarneau — Dublin Round of 16
Crawford O.
Oliver Crawford faces Alexis Galarneau in the Dublin round of 16 on grass. Alexis Galarneau is the paper favourite — ranked #187, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage — but Oliver Crawford arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on grass to Alexis Galarneau's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Galarneau A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Oliver Crawford 81 games in 14 days, Alexis Galarneau 121.
- Last match: Oliver Crawford dropped the opening set before beating Daniil Glinka 6–7 6–4 6–3.
- Last match: Alexis Galarneau edged Francesco Maestrelli in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCrawford O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 2 · not before Starts At 11:00 AM · up next on court
- 1Crawford O. v Galarneau A.This match
- 2Tabur C. v Sakellaridis S.
- 3Rottgering M. v Jacquet K.
- 4Zhou Y. v Mejia N.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.