Marco Cecchinato vs Federico Bondioli — Parma Round of 16
Cecchinato M.Marco Cecchinato faces Federico Bondioli in the Parma round of 16 on clay. Marco Cecchinato holds the paper edge — ranked #172, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Cecchinato M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Marco Cecchinato comes in with 4 days of rest and 111 games in 14d, vs Federico Bondioli's 5 and 64.
- Last match: Marco Cecchinato dropped the opening set before beating Carlo Alberto Caniato 4–6 6–3 6–4.
- Last match: Federico Bondioli dropped the opening set before beating Alvaro Guillen Meza 5–7 7–5 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCecchinato M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Bondioli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.