Oliver Crawford vs Daniil GlinkaDublin Round of 32

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#228ATP
1439ELO
1457Grass ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#171ATP
1528ELO
1514Grass ELO
$126kYTD
$263kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLLW
Crawford O.
vs
Glinka D.

Oliver Crawford faces Daniil Glinka in the Dublin round of 32 on grass. Daniil Glinka holds the paper edge — ranked #171, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Crawford O.36%
Glinka D.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Glinka D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1457
Surface ELO
5.7+57 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1438
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1528
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Crawford O.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Glinka D.

Glinka D.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Crawford O.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
12
18
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
82
Break points won·Slight edge
18
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
14
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
96

Crawford O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Glinka D.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.