Hynek Barton vs Kimmer CoppejansPoznan Round of 32

Poznan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#249ATP
1480ELO
1436Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
clay
#212ATP
1551ELO
1525Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLLWWW
Barton H.
vs
Coppejans K.

Hynek Barton faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Kimmer Coppejans holds the paper edge — ranked #212, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Barton H.42%
Coppejans K.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Coppejans K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1436
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1551
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Barton H.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Coppejans K.

Coppejans K.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Barton H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
37
44
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
65
Break points won·Clear edge
6
27
Deciding sets·Even
70
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
28
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
58
65

Barton H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d) · Coppejans K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.