Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Hynek Barton — Poznan Round of 16
Diaz Acosta F.
Facundo Diaz Acosta faces Hynek Barton in the Poznan round of 16 on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta holds the paper edge — ranked #128, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Diaz Acosta F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Facundo Diaz Acosta comes in with 1 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Hynek Barton's 5 and 180.
- Last match: Hynek Barton dropped just 6 games past Kimmer Coppejans.
- Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDiaz Acosta F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Barton H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.