Sachia Vickery vs Beatriz Haddad MaiaFigueira Da Foz

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER
#692WTA
1514ELO
1474Hard ELO
31 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
hard
CENTRAL · 4th on
#108WTA
1652ELO
1607Hard ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWWL
Vickery S.
vs
Haddad Maia B.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Vickery S.17%
Haddad Maia B.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Haddad Maia B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1474
Surface ELO
6.7+134 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1514
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1652
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.01 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Vickery S.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

4 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Service points won·Even
51%
50%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
45%
42%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vickery S.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Haddad Maia B.

Haddad Maia B.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Vickery S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
87
Break points saved·Dominant
16
91
Break points won·Clear edge
70
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Haddad Maia B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on CENTRAL · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Osuigwe W. v Voloshchuk A.
  2. 3Leonard M. v Charaeva A.
  3. 4Vickery S. v Haddad Maia B.This match
  4. 5Bandecchi S. v Zvonareva V.

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.