Yeon Woo Ku vs Lucrezia StefaniniFigueira Da Foz

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER
#188WTA
1362ELO
1341Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLWWLLL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
hard
#169WTA
1532ELO
1510Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWW
Ku Y.
vs
Stefanini L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Ku Y.11%
Stefanini L.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Stefanini L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1341
Surface ELO
7.1+168 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1362
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ku Y.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ku Y.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Ku Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Stefanini L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.