Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics

London · ATP · Round of 32

USA

Brandon Nakashima

#32ATP

1803ELO

1724Grass ELO

$612kYTD

$7.5MCAREER

24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 09:00

grass

HUN

Marton Fucsovics

#75ATP

1765ELO

1714Grass ELO

$411kYTD

$8.5MCAREER

34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLLLLWLWW

Brandon Nakashima faces Marton Fucsovics in the London round of 32 on grass. Brandon Nakashima holds the paper edge — ranked #32. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Key context

Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Tokyo 2025.
Fatigue load: Marton Fucsovics carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC

Nakashima B.61%

Fucsovics M.39%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nakashima B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Nakashima B.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Fucsovics M.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.1+10 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.9Grass Elo 1714

5.5Overall Elo 1803

ELO gap

4.5Overall Elo 1765

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.36 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.76 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

15°CMainly clear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

1–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-09-24	Tokyo	R16	hard	Brandon Nakashima	7-5 6-3
2020-08-24	Cincinnati Masters	Q1	hard	Marton Fucsovics	6-2 6-4

Statistics

Recent form

Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.

68%1st serve in+7%61%

77%1st serve points won+5%72%

52%2nd serve points won+2%50%

69%Service points won+6%63%

34%Return points won+2%36%

51%Break points saved+9%60%

9.5Aces / match+5.24.3

0.8Double faults / match+1.92.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics — London Round of 32