Rebeka Masarova vs Mia PohankovaBerlin Qualifying Final

Berlin · WTA · Qualifying Final
#140WTA
1751ELO
1633Grass ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLLW
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 4th on
#280WTA
1690ELO
1509Grass ELO
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWLW

Rebeka Masarova faces Mia Pohankova in the Berlin qualifying final on grass. Rebeka Masarova holds the paper edge — ranked #140, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC
Masarova R.73%
Pohankova M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Masarova R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+124 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Grass Elo 1508
4.9Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1690
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

4th on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 2Marcinko P. v Ito A.
  2. 3Timofeeva M. v Zarazua R.
  3. 4Kudermetova P. v Kraus S.
  4. 4Masarova R. v Pohankova M.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
61%1st serve in+3%58%
71%1st serve points won+4%67%
45%2nd serve points won+2%47%
61%Service points won+2%59%
42%Return points won+2%44%
57%Break points saved+7%64%
5Aces / match+0.35.3
4.4Double faults / match+0.14.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.