Magdalena Frech vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Berlin · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final

POL

Magdalena Frech

#43WTA

1739ELO

1575Grass ELO

$482kYTD

$4.6MCAREER

28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWLLLLLW

—

Sets

Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

BLR

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

#123WTA

1752ELO

1648Grass ELO

32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWLWLWWW

Magdalena Frech faces Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Berlin qualifying semi-final on grass. Magdalena Frech holds the paper edge — ranked #43, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Stage: Magdalena Frech defends last year's round of 16.
Fatigue load: Aliaksandra Sasnovich carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC

Frech M.40%

Sasnovich A.60%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sasnovich A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Frech M.

4.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Sasnovich A.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.1Grass Elo 1574

Surface ELO

5.9+74 Grass Elo edge

4.5Overall Elo 1739

ELO gap

5.5Overall Elo 1752

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.43 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.16 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

1.15

SlowFast

Weather forecast

19°COvercast

Wind 18 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Frech M.Sasnovich A.

63%1st serve in+1%64%

67%1st serve points won+4%63%

44%2nd serve points won+2%46%

58%Service points won+1%57%

43%Return points won+2%45%

59%Break points saved+1%58%

3.3Aces / match+0.33

2.6Double faults / match+1.13.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Magdalena Frech vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich — Berlin Qualifying Semi-final