Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Semi-final

KAZ

Alexander Shevchenko

#97ATP

1698ELO

1641Clay ELO

25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

CENTER COURT · 1st on

UKR

Vitaliy Sachko

#215ATP

1523ELO

1491Clay ELO

$104kYTD

$778kCAREER

28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Alexander Shevchenko faces Vitaliy Sachko in the Bratislava semi-final on clay. Alexander Shevchenko is the paper favourite — ranked #97, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Vitaliy Sachko has won their only previous meeting, though none on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Vitaliy Sachko dropped the opening set before beating Petr Brunclik 3–6 6–3 6–2.
Last match: Alexander Shevchenko handed Maxim Mrva a second-set bagel in a 7–6 6–0 win.
Fatigue load: Vitaliy Sachko carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Vitaliy Sachko leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Metz 2025.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC

Shevchenko A.75%

Sachko V.25%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shevchenko A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shevchenko A.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Sachko V.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.9+150 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.1Clay Elo 1491

7.2Overall Elo 1698

ELO gap

2.8Overall Elo 1523

4.8Split 1–1 on clay

H2H

5.2Split 1–1 on clay

6.56 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.86 of last 10 on clay

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

19°CPartly cloudy

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-11-02	Metz	Q1	hard	Vitaliy Sachko	6-3 6-1

Statistics

Recent form

Shevchenko A.Sachko V.

62%1st serve in+2%64%

68%1st serve points won+1%67%

52%2nd serve points won+2%50%

62%Service points won+1%61%

36%Return points won+1%37%

62%Break points saved+2%60%

5.8Aces / match+2.13.7

1.1Double faults / match+12.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko — Bratislava Semi-final