Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel — Bratislava Semi-final
Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
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Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
clay
Federico Cina faces Taro Daniel in the Bratislava semi-final on clay. Federico Cina holds the paper edge — ranked #185, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Last match: Federico Cina dropped the opening set before beating Zdenek Kolar 4–6 6–4 6–3.
- Last match: Taro Daniel dropped just 6 games past Zsombor Piros.
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Federico Cina on a 3-match run, Taro Daniel on 5.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTCCina F.71%
Daniel T.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Cina F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.8Clay Elo 1454
5.5Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap4.5Overall Elo 1495
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form9.19 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 76%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form63%1st serve in63%
71%1st serve points won+4%67%
47%2nd serve points won+5%52%
62%Service points won+1%61%
39%Return points won+2%37%
67%Break points saved+4%63%
3.4Aces / match+1.34.7
2.5Double faults / match+1.21.3
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Cina F.
Daniel T.
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