Dane Sweeny vs Bu Yunchaokete — Ilkley Semi-final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
AUS
Dane Sweeny
#132ATP
1537ELO
1412Grass ELO
$212kYTD
$816kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Live · Set 1
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
CHNALT
Bu Yunchaokete
#131ATP
1653ELO
1469Grass ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWLLW
LiveSet 1
Sweeny D.
0
40
0
Yunchaokete B.
0
15
0

Dane Sweeny faces Bu Yunchaokete in the Ilkley semi-final on grass. Bu Yunchaokete holds the paper edge — ranked #131, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Sweeny D.22%
Yunchaokete B.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yunchaokete B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sweeny D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Yunchaokete B.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1412
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1653
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.32 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
7.26 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Sweeny D.Yunchaokete B.
63%1st serve in+3%60%
66%1st serve points won+7%73%
51%2nd serve points won+9%60%
60%Service points won+8%68%
41%Return points won+6%35%
62%Break points saved+4%66%
3Aces / match+3.16.1
3.7Double faults / match+2.51.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Rocha H.
Broom C.
6-26-2
D. Blanch
C. O'Connell
7-644-66-3
Bolt A.
Smith K.[7]
4-64-6
Nardi L.
Fearnley J.[5]
6-40-63-6
Schoolkate T.[4]
Jubb P.[12]
6-43-66-3
Blanchet U.
Tarvet O.
3-63-6
Gill F.
Romano F.
6-746-41-6
Wendelken H.
Pinnington Jones J.[8]
4-64-6
Sweeny D.[7]
Okonkwo O.
6-46-4
Harris B.
Chidekh C.
6-756-47-613
Jacquet K.
Samuel T.
6-16-7104-6
Holmgren A.
Budkov Kjaer N.[3]
6-07-64
Maestrelli F.[6]
Gea A.
6-746-31-6
Lajal M.[1]
Zheng M.
4-66-47-65
Yunchaokete B.
Rodesch C.
7-677-5
Stewart H.[11]
Riedi L.[2]
1-66-33-6
Rocha H.
Blanch D.
6-746-13-6
Smith K.[7]
Fearnley J.[5]
6-45-74-6
Schoolkate T.[4]
Tarvet O.
3-62-6
Romano F.
Pinnington Jones J.[8]
7-55-76-3
Sweeny D.[7]
Harris B.
6-47-65
Samuel T.
Holmgren A.
6-36-3
Gea A.
Lajal M.[1]
3-66-33-6
Yunchaokete B.
Riedi L.[2]
Blanch D.
Fearnley J.[5]
6-746-76
Tarvet O.
Romano F.
6-726-01-6
Sweeny D.[7]
Samuel T.
5-76-26-3
Lajal M.[1]
Yunchaokete B.
4-61-6
Fearnley J.
Romano F.
Sweeny D.
Yunchaokete B.
—