Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail KukushkinHalle Qualifying Semi-final

Halle · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#78ATP
1700ELO
1624Grass ELO
$414kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLWLWL
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
#303ATP
1563ELO
1539Grass ELO
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLLW

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC
Bellucci M.75%
Kukushkin M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bellucci M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+85 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1539
6.7Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1563
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.57 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CShowers
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
61%1st serve in+4%65%
72%1st serve points won+3%69%
49%2nd serve points won+4%53%
63%Service points won+1%64%
39%Return points won+1%38%
61%Break points saved+1%60%
4.3Aces / match+1.33
2.7Double faults / match+1.80.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.