Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim MrvaBratislava Quarter-final

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#97ATP
1698ELO
1641Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLWWL
Sets
Friday, 12 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#312ATP
1456ELO
1377Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWLLWWL

Alexander Shevchenko faces Maxim Mrva in the Bratislava quarter-final on clay. Alexander Shevchenko holds the paper edge — ranked #97, a roughly 260-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Shevchenko A.73%
Mrva M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shevchenko A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.3+264 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Clay Elo 1377
8.0Overall Elo 1698
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1456
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

1st on CENTER COURT · not before Starts At 12:00 · up next on court

  1. 1Shevchenko A. v Mrva M.This match
  2. 2Kolar Z. v Cina F.

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
62%1st serve in+7%55%
68%1st serve points won+6%62%
52%2nd serve points won+4%48%
62%Service points won+6%56%
36%Return points won+7%43%
62%Break points saved+13%49%
5.8Aces / match+3.12.7
1.1Double faults / match+3.24.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.