Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz — Modena Quarter-final
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva faces Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Modena quarter-final on clay. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #124, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Leyre Romero Gormaz arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva's 3.
Key context
- Last match: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva dropped just 4 games past Varvara Lepchenko.
- Last match: Leyre Romero Gormaz dropped just 6 games past Mayar Sherif.
- Surface form: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 3 of 10, Leyre Romero Gormaz 9 of 10 on clay recently — Leyre Romero Gormaz the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Leyre Romero Gormaz carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Jimenez Kasintseva V. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
When it starts
2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Not before 2:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Salkova D. v Kawa K.
- 2Jimenez Kasintseva V. v Romero Gormaz L.This match
- 4Quevedo K. v Samson L.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.