Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel — Bratislava Quarter-final

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

HUN

Zsombor Piros

#183ATP

1713ELO

1676Clay ELO

$110kYTD

$939kCAREER

26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWWWWL

—

Sets

Friday, 12 June 2026 · 16:00

clay

JPN

Taro Daniel

#293ATP

1495ELO

1454Clay ELO

33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWLWWWWL

Zsombor Piros faces Taro Daniel in the Bratislava quarter-final on clay. Zsombor Piros is the paper favourite — ranked #183, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage — but Taro Daniel arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Zsombor Piros's 6.

Key context

Last match: Zsombor Piros dropped just 6 games past Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva.
Last match: Taro Daniel dropped just 4 games past Emilio Nava.
Surface form: Zsombor Piros 6 of 10, Taro Daniel 8 of 10 on clay recently — Taro Daniel the sharper of late.
Win streak: Taro Daniel arrives on a 4-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC

Piros Z.92%

Daniel T.8%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Piros Z. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Piros Z.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Daniel T.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.8+222 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.2Clay Elo 1454

7.7Overall Elo 1712

ELO gap

2.3Overall Elo 1495

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.77 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.48 of last 10 on clay

Win streak

7.04-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

21°COvercast

Wind 18 km/hHumidity 37%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Piros Z.Daniel T.

59%1st serve in+4%63%

70%1st serve points won+3%67%

55%2nd serve points won+3%52%

63%Service points won+2%61%

40%Return points won+3%37%

70%Break points saved+7%63%

4.3Aces / match+0.44.7

2.2Double faults / match+0.91.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.