Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeeva — Makarska Final

Makarska · CHALLENGER · Final
LAT
Darja Semenistaja
#102WTA
1628ELO
1607Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
UZB
Maria Timofeeva
#93WTA
1675ELO
1657Clay ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW

Maria Timofeeva cruised past Darja Semenistaja, conceding only five games, in the Makarska final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 6: A 13-point game with four deuces went Darja Semenistaja's way.
  • Pressure points: Darja Semenistaja converted 2 of 5 break points; Maria Timofeeva converted 5 of 9 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Semenistaja D.36%
Timofeeva M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Timofeeva M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Semenistaja D.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Timofeeva M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1607
Surface ELO
5.6+50 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1675
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Semenistaja D.
230
Timofeeva M.
662

Conditions

Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Semenistaja D.Timofeeva M.
65%1st serve in65%
59%1st serve points won+2%61%
44%2nd serve points won+4%48%
54%Service points won+2%56%
46%Return points won+3%49%
43%Break points saved+13%56%
1.2Aces / match+1.12.3
0.8Double faults / match+22.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Marcinko P.
Hennemann C.
6-16-0
Palicova B.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-26-4
Zidansek T.
Avanesyan E.
5-76-43-6
Konjuh A.
Salkova D.
3-62-6
Waltert S.
Kostovic T.
6-06-3
Lazaro Garcia A.
Samson L.
6-46-1
Sramkova R.
Urhobo A.
6-33-61-6
Lukas T.
Semenistaja D.
3-67-56-75
Jeanjean L.
Rinaldo Persson K.
1-66-43-6
Bulgaru M.
Noha Akugue N.
6-735-7
Radivojevic L.
Ristic M.
7-640-67-5
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-1
Timofeeva M.
Andreeva E.
6-36-2
Montgomery R.
Boskovic L.
6-35-71-6
Havlickova L.
Kabbaj Y.
6-755-7
Kawa K.
Joint M.
5-71-6
Marcinko P.
Palicova B.
6-06-734-6
Avanesyan E.
Salkova D.
3-67-656-3
Waltert S.
Lazaro Garcia A.
4-63-6
Urhobo A.
Semenistaja D.
4-64-6
Rinaldo Persson K.
Noha Akugue N.
2-65-7
Radivojevic L.
Sorribes Tormo S.
2-64-6
Timofeeva M.
Boskovic L.
6-46-3
Kabbaj Y.
Joint M.
6-36-4
Palicova B.
Avanesyan E.
0-66-31-6
Lazaro Garcia A.
Semenistaja D.
6-746-36-75
Noha Akugue N.
Sorribes Tormo S.
0-64-6
Timofeeva M.
Kabbaj Y.
7-56-1
Avanesyan E.
Semenistaja D.
1-62-6
Sorribes Tormo S.
Timofeeva M.
2-65-7
Semenistaja D.
Timofeeva M.
2-63-6