Kaja Juvan vs Maria TimofeevaSamsun 125 Quarter-final

Samsun 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#127WTA
1696ELO
1637Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
#95WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Juvan K.
6-3 4-6 6-2
Timofeeva M.
Juvan K.
6462
Timofeeva M.
3621

Kaja Juvan defeated Maria Timofeeva 6-3 4-6 6-2 in the Samsun 125 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #95. Kaja Juvan extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Kaja Juvan closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14HamburgR32clayKaja Juvan7-6(4) 6-1
2023-07-17BudapestQFclayMaria Timofeeva3-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Juvan K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Juvan K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
58
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
76
Break points won·Even
95
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
33
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+30 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1608
6.5Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1696
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Timofeeva M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast