Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak — Birmingham Semi-final

Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
FIN
Otto Virtanen
#158ATP
1685ELO
1680Grass ELO
$135kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 1st on
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#76ATP
1751ELO
1661Grass ELO
$354kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWLWW

Otto Virtanen saved one match point before defeating Kamil Majchrzak in the Birmingham semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 1: Otto Virtanen broke serve after a 13-point game with four deuces.
  • Set 3 tiebreak: Otto Virtanen took the deciding set 7-6.
  • Pressure points: Otto Virtanen converted 1 of 4 break points; Kamil Majchrzak converted 1 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:22 UTC
Virtanen O.39%
Majchrzak K.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Majchrzak K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Virtanen O.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Majchrzak K.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1661
4.2Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1751
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.89 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.06 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Virtanen O.
7865792
Majchrzak K.
6677671

Conditions

Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Virtanen O.Majchrzak K.
60%1st serve in+4%64%
73%1st serve points won+1%72%
52%2nd serve points won+4%48%
65%Service points won+2%63%
37%Return points won+1%36%
63%Break points saved63%
7.4Aces / match+0.17.3
3.2Double faults / match+1.31.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Bellucci M.
Bolt A.
3-60-6
Schoolkate T.
Fery A.
4-66-33-6
Mcdonald M.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-37-63
Fearnley J.
Hijikata R.
1-66-73
Damm M.
Harris B.
6-26-736-73
Yunchaokete B.
Harris L.
7-651-66-1
Watt J.
Wendelken H.
4-67-656-73
Lajal M.
Riedi L.
6-27-61
Wong C.
Tarvet O.
7-657-610
Chidekh C.
Romano F.
6-34-64-6
Zhang Z.
Virtanen O.
6-781-6
Pinnington Jones J.
Vukic A.
6-24-63-6
Shimabukuro S.
Mochizuki S.
7-636-4
Ymer E.
C. O'Connell
7-676-3
Blanchet U.
Gill F.
7-656-724-6
Mccabe J.
Majchrzak K.
6-733-6
Bolt A.
Fery A.
4-67-653-6
Mcdonald M.
Hijikata R.
3-66-75
Harris B.
Yunchaokete B.
2-64-6
Wendelken H.
Lajal M.
4-61-6
Wong C.
Romano F.
4-65-7
Virtanen O.
Vukic A.
Shimabukuro S.
Ymer E.
6-36-3
Gill F.
Majchrzak K.
3-63-6
Fery A.
Hijikata R.
7-676-3
Yunchaokete B.
Lajal M.
7-56-4
Romano F.
Virtanen O.
4-64-6
Shimabukuro S.
Majchrzak K.
6-763-6
Fery A.
Yunchaokete B.
2-66-33-6
Virtanen O.
Majchrzak K.
7-666-757-67
Yunchaokete B.
Virtanen O.
2-67-636-3