Bu Yunchaokete vs Otto Virtanen — Birmingham Final

Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Final
CHN
Bu Yunchaokete
#131ATP
1653ELO
1469Grass ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
FIN
Otto Virtanen
#158ATP
1685ELO
1680Grass ELO
$135kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW

Bu Yunchaokete fought back from a set down to beat Otto Virtanen 2-6 7-6 6-3 in the Birmingham final.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 1: Bu Yunchaokete saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Set 3, game 6: Bu Yunchaokete broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Bu Yunchaokete converted 1 of 4 break points; Otto Virtanen converted 2 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC
Yunchaokete B.35%
Virtanen O.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Virtanen O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yunchaokete B.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Virtanen O.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Grass Elo 1469
Surface ELO
7.6+211 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1653
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1685
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Yunchaokete B.
27762
Virtanen O.
66331

Conditions

Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Yunchaokete B.Virtanen O.
60%1st serve in60%
73%1st serve points won73%
60%2nd serve points won+8%52%
68%Service points won+3%65%
35%Return points won+2%37%
66%Break points saved+3%63%
6.1Aces / match+1.37.4
1.2Double faults / match+23.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Bellucci M.
Bolt A.
3-60-6
Schoolkate T.
Fery A.
4-66-33-6
Mcdonald M.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-37-63
Fearnley J.
Hijikata R.
1-66-73
Damm M.
Harris B.
6-26-736-73
Yunchaokete B.
Harris L.
7-651-66-1
Watt J.
Wendelken H.
4-67-656-73
Lajal M.
Riedi L.
6-27-61
Wong C.
Tarvet O.
7-657-610
Chidekh C.
Romano F.
6-34-64-6
Zhang Z.
Virtanen O.
6-781-6
Pinnington Jones J.
Vukic A.
6-24-63-6
Shimabukuro S.
Mochizuki S.
7-636-4
Ymer E.
C. O'Connell
7-676-3
Blanchet U.
Gill F.
7-656-724-6
Mccabe J.
Majchrzak K.
6-733-6
Bolt A.
Fery A.
4-67-653-6
Mcdonald M.
Hijikata R.
3-66-75
Harris B.
Yunchaokete B.
2-64-6
Wendelken H.
Lajal M.
4-61-6
Wong C.
Romano F.
4-65-7
Virtanen O.
Vukic A.
Shimabukuro S.
Ymer E.
6-36-3
Gill F.
Majchrzak K.
3-63-6
Fery A.
Hijikata R.
7-676-3
Yunchaokete B.
Lajal M.
7-56-4
Romano F.
Virtanen O.
4-64-6
Shimabukuro S.
Majchrzak K.
6-763-6
Fery A.
Yunchaokete B.
2-66-33-6
Virtanen O.
Majchrzak K.
7-666-757-67
Yunchaokete B.
Virtanen O.
2-67-636-3