Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan — Tyler Final

Tyler · CHALLENGER · Final
AUS
Adam Walton
#91ATP
1671ELO
1634Hard ELO
$324kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
USA
Andre Ilagan
#257ATP
1447ELO
1420Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW

Adam Walton won seven games in a row to see off Andre Ilagan 7-5 6-1 in the Tyler final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 12: Adam Walton broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 2: Adam Walton broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Adam Walton converted 3 of 7 break points; Andre Ilagan converted 0 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Walton A.78%
Ilagan A.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Walton A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Walton A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ilagan A.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+214 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1420
7.8Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1446
6.6Leads 4–1 on hard
H2H
3.4Trails 1–4 on hard
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Walton A.
762
Ilagan A.
510

Conditions

Weather
29°CThunderstorm
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 78%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Walton A.Ilagan A.
64%1st serve in+3%67%
70%1st serve points won+1%69%
56%2nd serve points won+7%49%
65%Service points won+3%62%
37%Return points won+3%40%
65%Break points saved+1%66%
6.5Aces / match+24.5
1.2Double faults / match+1.22.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Walton A.
Wu T.
4-67-646-1
Martin A.
Ellis B.
7-657-65
L. Ardila
Zink T.
6-46-4
Legout T.
Andrade A.
7-57-5
Draxl L.
Kim A.
6-16-3
Gorzny S.
Fenty A.
6-46-4
Shick B.
Mayo A.
6-22-66-2
Imamura M.
Smith C.
7-56-3
Tomic B.
Matsuoka H.
6-746-75
Searle H.
Krueger M.
6-46-4
Bicknell B.
Monday J.
6-746-46-4
Poling K.
Mejia N.
6-46-4
Butvilas E.
Svajda T.
7-616-4
Sun F.
Ilagan A.
3-66-71
Cassone M.
Milavsky D.
6-46-1
Shimizu Y.
Sweeny D.
7-57-5
Walton A.
Martin A.
6-26-2
L. Ardila
Legout T.
1-60-6
Draxl L.
Gorzny S.
6-31-66-3
Shick B.
Imamura M.
7-57-66
Matsuoka H.
Searle H.
2-62-6
Bicknell B.
Poling K.
5-75-7
Butvilas E.
Ilagan A.
3-64-6
Cassone M.
Shimizu Y.
7-666-766-73
Walton A.
Legout T.
6-26-2
Draxl L.
Shick B.
6-26-3
Searle H.
Poling K.
6-726-33-6
Ilagan A.
Shimizu Y.
4-67-656-4
Walton A.
Draxl L.
6-46-4
Poling K.
Ilagan A.
6-31-66-78
Walton A.
Ilagan A.
7-56-1