Arthur Fery vs Bu Yunchaokete — Birmingham Semi-final

Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
GBR
Arthur Fery
#141ATP
1671ELO
1494Grass ELO
$196kYTD
$735kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
CHN
Bu Yunchaokete
#131ATP
1653ELO
1469Grass ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWLW

Bu Yunchaokete won five games in a row to see off Arthur Fery 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the Birmingham semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: Bu Yunchaokete broke serve.
  • Set 3, game 2: Bu Yunchaokete broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Arthur Fery converted 2 of 4 break points; Bu Yunchaokete converted 4 of 6 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Fery A.54%
Yunchaokete B.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fery A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Yunchaokete B.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+25 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1469
5.2Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1653
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Fery A.
2631
Yunchaokete B.
6362

Conditions

Weather
15°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersQ2hardArthur Fery6-3 3-6 7-5

Statistics

Recent form
Fery A.Yunchaokete B.
64%1st serve in+4%60%
67%1st serve points won+6%73%
51%2nd serve points won+9%60%
61%Service points won+7%68%
40%Return points won+5%35%
62%Break points saved+4%66%
3.7Aces / match+2.46.1
1.5Double faults / match+0.31.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Bellucci M.
Bolt A.
3-60-6
Schoolkate T.
Fery A.
4-66-33-6
Mcdonald M.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-37-63
Fearnley J.
Hijikata R.
1-66-73
Damm M.
Harris B.
6-26-736-73
Yunchaokete B.
Harris L.
7-651-66-1
Watt J.
Wendelken H.
4-67-656-73
Lajal M.
Riedi L.
6-27-61
Wong C.
Tarvet O.
7-657-610
Chidekh C.
Romano F.
6-34-64-6
Zhang Z.
Virtanen O.
6-781-6
Pinnington Jones J.
Vukic A.
6-24-63-6
Shimabukuro S.
Mochizuki S.
7-636-4
Ymer E.
C. O'Connell
7-676-3
Blanchet U.
Gill F.
7-656-724-6
Mccabe J.
Majchrzak K.
6-733-6
Bolt A.
Fery A.
4-67-653-6
Mcdonald M.
Hijikata R.
3-66-75
Harris B.
Yunchaokete B.
2-64-6
Wendelken H.
Lajal M.
4-61-6
Wong C.
Romano F.
4-65-7
Virtanen O.
Vukic A.
Shimabukuro S.
Ymer E.
6-36-3
Gill F.
Majchrzak K.
3-63-6
Fery A.
Hijikata R.
7-676-3
Yunchaokete B.
Lajal M.
7-56-4
Romano F.
Virtanen O.
4-64-6
Shimabukuro S.
Majchrzak K.
6-763-6
Fery A.
Yunchaokete B.
2-66-33-6
Virtanen O.
Majchrzak K.
7-666-757-67
Yunchaokete B.
Virtanen O.
2-67-636-3