Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan — Prostejov Final

Prostejov · CHALLENGER · Final
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1737ELO
1691Clay ELO
$795kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
clay
PROSTEJOV ARENA · 2nd on
SVK
Alex Molcan
#102ATP
1748ELO
1719Clay ELO
$241kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW

Sebastian Baez dropped just six games in a straight-sets win over Alex Molcan in the Prostejov final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 1: Sebastian Baez broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Sebastian Baez converted 5 of 8 break points; Alex Molcan converted 2 of 2 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC
Baez S.47%
Molcan A.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Molcan A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1691
Surface ELO
5.4+28 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1748
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Baez S.
662
Molcan A.
420

Conditions

Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-31KitzbuhelQFclaySebastian Baez6-4 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
Baez S.Molcan A.
70%1st serve in+7%63%
63%1st serve points won+6%69%
50%2nd serve points won+4%54%
59%Service points won+4%63%
40%Return points won+1%41%
58%Break points saved+8%66%
1.3Aces / match+2.13.4
1.9Double faults / match+0.51.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Baez S.
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
6-46-3
Boyer T.
Jianu F.
7-656-4
Watanuki Y.
Boscardin Dias P.
6-16-750-3
Mrva M.
Svrcina D.
5-76-36-4
Shevchenko A.
Brancaccio R.
7-654-66-1
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Pavlovic L.
6-34-66-3
Olivieri G.
Krumich M.
6-31-67-62
Midon L.
Kolar Z.
7-56-1
Bautista Agut R.
Barton H.
4-67-655-7
Durasovic V.
Gombos N.
6-726-36-73
Daniel T.
Forejtek J.
7-636-1
Damas M.
Dzumhur D.
7-624-65-7
Molcan A.
Piros Z.
6-26-3
Karol M.
Caniato C.
7-636-1
Sachko V.
Kumstat J.
5-76-06-3
Martin A.
Kopriva V.
0-64-6
Baez S.
Boyer T.
6-26-4
Boscardin Dias P.
Mrva M.
4-64-6
Shevchenko A.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-781-6
Olivieri G.
Midon L.
1-62-6
Barton H.
Gombos N.
6-36-4
Daniel T.
Dzumhur D.
6-44-66-3
Molcan A.
Karol M.
6-36-4
Sachko V.
Kopriva V.
6-14-67-64
Baez S.
Mrva M.
6-47-5
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Midon L.
6-766-36-3
Barton H.
Daniel T.
7-647-5
Molcan A.
Sachko V.
3-66-16-4
Baez S.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-27-62
Barton H.
Molcan A.
3-62-6
Baez S.
Molcan A.
6-46-2