Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan — Kitzbuhel Quarter-final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Quarter-final
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
clay
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Baez S.
6-4 6-3
Molcan A.
Baez S.
662
Molcan A.
430

Sebastian Baez defeated Alex Molcan 6-4 6-3 in the Kitzbuhel quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Molcan A.
1
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Dominant
86
61
Deciding sets·Even
88
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Molcan A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+6 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Clay Elo 1712
5.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1742
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
3.5
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Molcan A.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
90

Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Molcan A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Baez S.
Thiem D.
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Baez S.
Etcheverry T.[1]
7-653-66-4
Thiem D.
Djere L.[5]
6-737-57-68
Quarter-finals
Etcheverry T.[1]
Galan D.
6-766-36-4
Baez S.
Molcan A.
6-46-3
Djere L.[5]
Cachin P.[3]
6-46-2
Thiem D.
Rinderknech A.
4-66-36-4
R16
Galan D.
Altmaier D.[8]
3-66-27-68
Rinderknech A.
Hanfmann Y.[2]
7-636-3
Molcan A.
Ofner S.[4]
4-67-57-65
Baez S.
Carballes Baena R.[6]
6-16-2
Djere L.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-656-3
Cachin P.[3]
Ramos A.
7-56-3
Thiem D.
Zhang Z.
1-66-36-2
Etcheverry T.[1]
Andreozzi G.
6-26-2
R32
Thiem D.
Bagnis F.
7-637-66
Zhang Z.
Lajovic D.[7]
6-36-2
Andreozzi G.
Misolic F.
5-76-46-2
Galan D.
Cecchinato M.
6-26-2
Altmaier D.[8]
Huesler M.
6-756-26-4
Molcan A.
Van Assche L.
6-46-3
Baez S.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-2
Djere L.[5]
Oconnell C.
6-47-64
Seyboth Wild T.
Novak D.
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.
Cerundolo J.
6-736-46-2
Ramos A.
Varillas J.
6-17-5
Carballes Baena R.[6]
Pella G.
6-26-4