Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl — Tyler Semi-final

Tyler · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
AUS
Adam Walton
#91ATP
1671ELO
1634Hard ELO
$324kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
CAN
Liam Draxl
#163ATP
1583ELO
1557Hard ELO
$157kYTD
$598kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLLWL

A decisive break in the second set settled it as Adam Walton got past Liam Draxl 6-4 6-4 in the Tyler semi-final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Adam Walton converted 2 of 4 break points; Liam Draxl converted 0 of 0 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Walton A.66%
Draxl L.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Walton A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Walton A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Draxl L.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1557
6.1Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1583
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.07 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Walton A.
662
Draxl L.
440

Conditions

Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 95%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Walton A.Draxl L.
64%1st serve in+1%65%
70%1st serve points won+3%67%
56%2nd serve points won+12%44%
65%Service points won+6%59%
37%Return points won+3%40%
65%Break points saved+8%57%
6.5Aces / match+2.83.7
1.2Double faults / match+2.33.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Walton A.
Wu T.
4-67-646-1
Martin A.
Ellis B.
7-657-65
L. Ardila
Zink T.
6-46-4
Legout T.
Andrade A.
7-57-5
Draxl L.
Kim A.
6-16-3
Gorzny S.
Fenty A.
6-46-4
Shick B.
Mayo A.
6-22-66-2
Imamura M.
Smith C.
7-56-3
Tomic B.
Matsuoka H.
6-746-75
Searle H.
Krueger M.
6-46-4
Bicknell B.
Monday J.
6-746-46-4
Poling K.
Mejia N.
6-46-4
Butvilas E.
Svajda T.
7-616-4
Sun F.
Ilagan A.
3-66-71
Cassone M.
Milavsky D.
6-46-1
Shimizu Y.
Sweeny D.
7-57-5
Walton A.
Martin A.
6-26-2
L. Ardila
Legout T.
1-60-6
Draxl L.
Gorzny S.
6-31-66-3
Shick B.
Imamura M.
7-57-66
Matsuoka H.
Searle H.
2-62-6
Bicknell B.
Poling K.
5-75-7
Butvilas E.
Ilagan A.
3-64-6
Cassone M.
Shimizu Y.
7-666-766-73
Walton A.
Legout T.
6-26-2
Draxl L.
Shick B.
6-26-3
Searle H.
Poling K.
6-726-33-6
Ilagan A.
Shimizu Y.
4-67-656-4
Walton A.
Draxl L.
6-46-4
Poling K.
Ilagan A.
6-31-66-78
Walton A.
Ilagan A.
7-56-1