Sebastian Baez vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prostejov Semi-final

Prostejov · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#64ATP
1737ELO
1691Clay ELO
$795kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
clay
PROSTEJOV ARENA · 2nd on
ESP
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
#235ATP
1521ELO
1499Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWL

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Sebastian Baez got past Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 6-2 7-6 in the Prostejov semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 4: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Set 2, game 5: A 17-point game with six deuces went Sebastian Baez's way.
  • Pressure points: Sebastian Baez converted 2 of 7 break points; Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo converted 0 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Baez S.80%
Sanchez Izquierdo N.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Baez S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+192 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1499
7.7Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1520
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Baez S.
6772
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
2620

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Baez S.Sanchez Izquierdo N.
70%1st serve in+5%65%
63%1st serve points won+5%68%
50%2nd serve points won+4%54%
59%Service points won+4%63%
40%Return points won+2%42%
58%Break points saved+7%51%
1.3Aces / match+12.3
1.9Double faults / match+0.42.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Baez S.
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
6-46-3
Boyer T.
Jianu F.
7-656-4
Watanuki Y.
Boscardin Dias P.
6-16-750-3
Mrva M.
Svrcina D.
5-76-36-4
Shevchenko A.
Brancaccio R.
7-654-66-1
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Pavlovic L.
6-34-66-3
Olivieri G.
Krumich M.
6-31-67-62
Midon L.
Kolar Z.
7-56-1
Bautista Agut R.
Barton H.
4-67-655-7
Durasovic V.
Gombos N.
6-726-36-73
Daniel T.
Forejtek J.
7-636-1
Damas M.
Dzumhur D.
7-624-65-7
Molcan A.
Piros Z.
6-26-3
Karol M.
Caniato C.
7-636-1
Sachko V.
Kumstat J.
5-76-06-3
Martin A.
Kopriva V.
0-64-6
Baez S.
Boyer T.
6-26-4
Boscardin Dias P.
Mrva M.
4-64-6
Shevchenko A.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-781-6
Olivieri G.
Midon L.
1-62-6
Barton H.
Gombos N.
6-36-4
Daniel T.
Dzumhur D.
6-44-66-3
Molcan A.
Karol M.
6-36-4
Sachko V.
Kopriva V.
6-14-67-64
Baez S.
Mrva M.
6-47-5
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Midon L.
6-766-36-3
Barton H.
Daniel T.
7-647-5
Molcan A.
Sachko V.
3-66-16-4
Baez S.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-27-62
Barton H.
Molcan A.
3-62-6
Baez S.
Molcan A.
6-46-2