Alexei Popyrin vs Casper RuudGeneva Quarter-final

Geneva · ATP · Quarter-final
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 21 May 2026 ·
clay
#13ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Popyrin A.
4-6 3-6
Ruud C.
Popyrin A.
430
Ruud C.
662

Casper Ruud defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3 in the Geneva quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlexei Popyrin6-4 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Popyrin A.Ruud C.
Serve
54
Return
69

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
31%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.2
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1727
Surface ELO
7.8+246 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1983
4.8
H2H
5.2
6.0
Surface form
8.8
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Country comfort
7.5
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 52%