Alexei Popyrin vs Casper RuudMonte Carlo Masters Round of 16

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#12ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Popyrin A.
6-4 3-6 7-5
Ruud C.
Popyrin A.
6372
Ruud C.
4651

Alexei Popyrin defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexei Popyrin closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-21GenevaQFclayCasper Ruud4-6 3-6
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve advantage — Ruud C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Popyrin A.Ruud C.
Serve
54
Return
69

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1727
Surface ELO
7.8+246 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
97

Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%