Tommy Paul vs Daniel AltmaierHamburg Quarter-final

Hamburg · ATP · Quarter-final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 21 May 2026 ·
clay
#60ATP
1734ELO
1693Clay ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLW
Paul T.
6-2 7-5
Altmaier D.
Paul T.
672
Altmaier D.
250

Tommy Paul defeated Daniel Altmaier 6-2 7-5 in the Hamburg quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16TokyoR32hardTommy Paul3-6 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Altmaier D.serving73% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Altmaier D.
34
Serve
41
Return
12

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
71
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
87
34
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+193 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1693
7.9Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1734
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
5.4
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Country comfort
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
95

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Altmaier D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 48%