Tommy Paul vs Daniel AltmaierTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#61ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Paul T.
3-6 6-1 6-3
Altmaier D.
Paul T.
3662
Altmaier D.
6131

Tommy Paul defeated Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-1 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-21HamburgQFclayTommy Paul6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Altmaier D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Altmaier D.
71
Serve
17
54
Return
4

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.1
6.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
71
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
87
34
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1652
8.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1734
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
94

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Altmaier D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 42%