Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De MinaurHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 32
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 18 May 2026 ·
clay
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Cerundolo F.
6-3 4-6 3-6
De Minaur A.
Cerundolo F.
6431
De Minaur A.
3662

Alex De Minaur defeated Francisco Cerundolo 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardFrancisco Cerundolo7-5 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR32hardAlex De Minaur5-7 7-6(3) 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.De Minaur A.
23
Serve
100
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
95
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
86
97
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1868
Surface ELO
5.1+1 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
80

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 39%