Anna Blinkova vs Leylah FernandezParis Round of 32

Paris · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#114WTA
1694ELO
1602Clay ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 May 2026 ·
clay
#24WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Blinkova A.
7-6 6-4
Fernandez L.
Blinkova A.
762
Fernandez L.
640

Anna Blinkova defeated Leylah Fernandez 7-6 6-4 in the Paris round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24. Anna Blinkova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-09Hong KongSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-2 7-5
2023-06-26Bad HomburgR16grassAnna Blinkova7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Blinkova A.Fernandez L.
Serve
47
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
87
Break points saved·Dominant
58
95
Break points won·Even
94
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1602
Surface ELO
7.0+100 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
69
98

Blinkova A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About