Anna Blinkova vs Leylah FernandezBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#114WTA
1694ELO
1602Grass ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 June 2023
grass
#24WTA
1805ELO
1661Grass ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Blinkova A.
7-5 6-2
Fernandez L.
Blinkova A.
762
Fernandez L.
520

Anna Blinkova defeated Leylah Fernandez 7-5 6-2 in the Bad Homburg round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Anna Blinkova had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 5 on grass. Anna Blinkova claimed a first win over Leylah Fernandez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Anna Blinkova closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-09Hong KongSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
87
Break points saved·Dominant
58
95
Break points won·Even
94
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO
6.5+60 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
98

Blinkova A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 45%