Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo BerrettiniValencia CH Round of 16

Valencia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
clay
#49ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-6 6-4
Berrettini M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7762
Berrettini M.
624

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 6-4 in the Valencia CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #49.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Berrettini M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Berrettini M.
24
Serve
51
36
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
82
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
100
Break points won·Slight edge
62
53
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Berrettini M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast