Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini — Valencia CH Round of 16
Valencia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
clay
#49ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.7-6 6-4
Berrettini M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7762
Berrettini M.
624–
Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 6-4 in the Valencia CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #49.
Key context
- Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli edged Matteo Berrettini in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Berrettini M.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on clay
Ugo Carabelli C.Berrettini M.
24
Serve
51
36
Return
34
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
78
82
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
100
Break points won·Slight edge
62
53
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Quarter-finals
Munar J.
Carreno Busta P.
W/O
Tabilo A.
Lajovic D.
4-67-56-4
Kecmanovic M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-16-1
Vallejo A.
Bergs Z.
6-46-3
R16
Vallejo A.
Alvarez Varona N.
7-636-0
Munar J.
Dzumhur D.
6-27-64
Bergs Z.
Bautista Agut R.
6-756-36-3
Carreno Busta P.
Baez S.
5-77-57-5
Tabilo A.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-1
Lajovic D.
Altmaier D.
3-67-57-65
Ugo Carabelli C.
Berrettini M.
7-626-4
Kecmanovic M.
Riedi L.
6-36-2
R32
Bautista Agut R.
Martinez P.
6-36-1
Baez S.
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-2
Carreno Busta P.
Comesana F.
6-46-3
Dzumhur D.
Sanchez Quilez A.
6-16-736-4
Kovacevic A.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-35-76-2
Lajovic D.
Oconnell C.
6-46-3
Berrettini M.
Daniel T.
6-46-2
Riedi L.
Prado Angelo J.
6-756-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-4
Alvarez Varona N.
Struff J.
6-15-76-2
Vallejo A.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-16-1
Altmaier D.
Squire H.
6-36-3