Sebastian Baez vs Roberto Carballes BaenaValencia Round of 32

Valencia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 May 2026 ·
clay
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Baez S.
6-4 6-2
Carballes Baena R.
Baez S.
662
Carballes Baena R.
420

Sebastian Baez defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-2 in the Valencia round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20GenevaR16claySebastian Baez6-3 6-0
2023-07-31KitzbuhelR16claySebastian Baez6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Carballes Baena R.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
61
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Dominant
86
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 29 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.2+106 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1612
6.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1632
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.2
Surface form
3.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
92

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About