Sebastian Baez vs Roberto Carballes BaenaKitzbuhel Round of 16

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 16
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
clay
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Baez S.
6-1 6-2
Carballes Baena R.
Baez S.
662
Carballes Baena R.
120

Sebastian Baez defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 6-2 in the Kitzbuhel round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20GenevaR16claySebastian Baez6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Carballes Baena R.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 189). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
61
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Dominant
86
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+106 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1612
6.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
92

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 61%