Daria Kasatkina vs Emiliana ArangoVic 125 Round of 32

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
clay
#96WTA
1624ELO
1553Clay ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Kasatkina D.
6-2 3-6 7-6
Arango E.
Kasatkina D.
63772
Arango E.
26651

Daria Kasatkina defeated Emiliana Arango 6-2 3-6 7-6 in the Vic 125 round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassDaria Kasatkina7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
56
Break points won·Clear edge
100
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+217 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1553
7.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1624
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
89

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arango E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast