Daria Kasatkina vs Emiliana Arango — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Daria Kasatkina
AUS16
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Emiliana Arango
COL
Emiliana Arango
#97WTA
1624ELO
1495Grass ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Kasatkina D.
7-5 6-3
Arango E.
Kasatkina D.
762
Arango E.
530

Daria Kasatkina defeated Emiliana Arango 7-5 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Arango E.
1st serve in·Even
68%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Arango E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
56
Break points won·Clear edge
100
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Arango E.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+171 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Grass Elo 1495
7.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
0.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
5.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Arango E.
Freshness·Even
90
88

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-06-0
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Samsonova L.[19]
6-27-5
Bencic B.[11]
Andreeva M.[5]
7-637-62
Anisimova A.[6]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-17-69
Sabalenka A.[1]
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-4
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[25]
6-47-64
Anisimova A.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
6-25-76-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[24]
6-46-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-3
Siegemund L.
Sierra S.
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kartal S.
7-636-4
Bencic B.[11]
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-646-4
Samsonova L.[19]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-57-5
R32
Anisimova A.[6]
Galfi D.[10]
6-35-76-3
Mertens E.[25]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-17-64
Noskova L.[9]
Rakhimova K.
7-667-5
Siegemund L.
Keys M.[26]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Collins D.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-66-46-4
Tauson C.[24]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-666-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-666-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Baptiste H.
6-16-3
Bencic B.[11]
Cocciaretto E.
6-43-67-67
Navarro E.[23]
Krejcikova B.[17]
2-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bucsa C.
7-51-66-1
Kartal S.
Parry D.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Sonmez Z.
6-37-61
Samsonova L.[19]
Kasatkina D.[16]
6-26-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
6-12-66-3
R64
Kartal S.
Tomova V.
6-26-2
Galfi D.[10]
Haddad Maia B.[21]
7-676-1
Alexandrova E.[18]
Lamens S.[27]
6-46-0
Cocciaretto E.
Volynets K.[5]
6-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Sasnovich A.[15]
6-26-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Krueger A.
7-646-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-17-64
Siegemund L.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Sakkari M.
6-36-1
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.[31]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[25]
Li A.[28]
6-756-16-2
Keys M.[26]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Paolini J.[13]
4-66-46-4
Noskova L.[9]
Lys E.
6-22-66-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Zarazua R.
6-46-3
Parry D.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-46-1
Tauson C.[24]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-37-610
Sonmez Z.
Wang X.
7-57-5
Krejcikova B.[17]
Dolehide C.
6-43-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kenin S.[28]
6-17-64
Sierra S.
Boulter K.
6-776-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-646-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
Osaka N.[14]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-36-2
Baptiste H.
Mboko V.
7-666-3
Navarro E.[23]
Kudermetova V.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[11]
Jacquemot E.
4-66-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Mcnally C.
5-76-26-1
Collins D.
Erjavec V.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Begu I.
6-24-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-26-1
Yastremska D.
Zakharova A.
5-77-57-68
R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2